Justin Kirkland vs Nick Bjugstad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kirkland on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kirkland 48.2% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 57.0%
Defensive zone
Kirkland 58.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 54.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Kirkland
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kirkland
Bjugstad
Last 8: Kirkland 4-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
3
Kirkland
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kirkland
3
0
Kirkland
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Kirkland
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kirkland
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (230)
48.6% (6,634)
+0.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
55.2% (829)
-55.2%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (36)
44.3% (614)
-5.4%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +55.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Kirkland is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Kirkland shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Kirkland
Bjugstad
Home
48.0% (148)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
47.1% (119)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Kirkland
Bjugstad
P1
55.1%
49.0%
P2
46.0%
49.1%
P3
41.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
48.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kirkland
44.0%▼
46.5%
47.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Justin Kirkland |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |