Scouting Report
Justin Sourdif holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Sourdif wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Calvert shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sourdif 45.6% vs Calvert 42.9% (+5.2%)
Offensive zone
Calvert 63.4%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 70.0%
Neutral zone
Calvert 50.2%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Sourdif
Calvert
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sourdif
Calvert
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (585)
35.4% (178)
+8.9%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
66.7% (9)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (13)
52.4% (42)
+9.1%
On power play, Calvert has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Calvert shoots left. Sourdif is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Sourdif shoots right. Calvert is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Home / Away
Sourdif
Calvert
Home
43.6% (321)
41.1% (112)
Away
46.2% (301)
38.5% (117)
By Period
Sourdif
Calvert
P1
41.9%
33.3%
P2
44.3%
44.3%
P3
47.9%
40.7%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
36.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sourdif
36.0%▼
41.0%
44.9%
Calvert
42.0%▲
39.5%
39.7%