Scouting Report
Justin Williams holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Williams shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Williams 52.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Williams 85.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 71.3%
Neutral zone
Williams 55.3%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Henrique
Williams
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Henrique
Williams
Last 6: Henrique 5-1 Williams
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Williams
0
1
Henrique
Williams
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
0
Henrique
Williams
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Williams
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (917)
45.0% (40)
+2.7%
Power Play
54.4% (149)
59.2% (76)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (148)
100.0% (1)
-54.7%
On penalty kill, Williams has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Williams shoots right. Henrique is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (444).
Henrique shoots left. Williams is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Henrique
Williams
Home
49.9% (567)
53.2% (62)
Away
46.7% (647)
56.4% (55)
By Period
Henrique
Williams
P1
49.7%
51.9%
P2
45.3%
56.0%
P3
50.6%
55.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
68.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |