Scouting Report
Justin Williams holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Williams on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.8% vs Williams 52.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Williams 74.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 90.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 60.1%
Result
Justin Williams favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Lowry
Williams
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lowry
Williams
Last 5: Lowry 1-4 Williams
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Williams
0
4
Lowry
Williams
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Williams
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Williams
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (936)
45.0% (40)
+6.4%
Power Play
54.1% (85)
59.2% (76)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (274)
100.0% (1)
-52.2%
On penalty kill, Williams has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Williams shoots right. Lowry is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (467).
Lowry shoots left. Williams is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Lowry
Williams
Home
52.9% (680)
53.2% (62)
Away
48.5% (615)
56.4% (55)
By Period
Lowry
Williams
P1
51.5%
51.9%
P2
51.5%
56.0%
P3
49.3%
55.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
68.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Justin Williams |