Scouting Report
Blake Coleman holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Williams on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Coleman wins 37.6% vs right-shot opponents — Williams shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.9% vs Williams 41.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Williams 85.3%
Defensive zone
Coleman 80.7%
Neutral zone
Williams 51.3%
Result
Justin Williams favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Coleman
Williams
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Coleman
Williams
Last 9: Coleman 4-5 Williams
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Williams
0
4
Coleman
Williams
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
4
0
Coleman
Williams
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Williams
0
1
Coleman
Williams
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Williams
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (145)
35.5% (155)
+10.0%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
41.2% (85)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (108)
100.0% (2)
-63.0%
On penalty kill, Williams has a +63.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Williams shoots right. Coleman is 37.6% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Coleman shoots left. Williams is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Coleman
Williams
Home
49.6% (129)
39.5% (114)
Away
33.8% (133)
36.7% (128)
By Period
Coleman
Williams
P1
39.5%
28.6%
P2
40.2%
35.8%
P3
45.6%
48.8%
Final 5 min
39.6%
34.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
41.6%
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
38.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:26 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 19:50 | Neutral | Justin Williams |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Justin Williams |