Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Williams wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Williams 45.4% vs Eller 50.5% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Williams 95.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 63.5%
Neutral zone
Williams 79.3%
Result
Justin Williams favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Williams
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Williams
Eller
Last 10: Williams 2-8 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
3
Williams
Eller
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Williams
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Williams
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Williams
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (386)
51.1% (10,296)
-9.6%
Power Play
51.0% (243)
52.8% (621)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (26)
46.7% (1,751)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Williams is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Williams shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Home / Away
Williams
Eller
Home
46.2% (327)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
43.3% (328)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Williams
Eller
P1
39.9%
51.2%
P2
46.1%
50.1%
P3
49.0%
50.2%
OT
0.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
44.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 1 | 15:57 | Neutral | Justin Williams |