Scouting Report
Milan Lucic holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Williams wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lucic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Williams 45.4% vs Lucic 46.6% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Williams 51.4%
Defensive zone
Lucic 52.3%
Neutral zone
Williams 50.8%
Result
Justin Williams favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Williams
Lucic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Williams
Lucic
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (386)
44.4% (401)
-2.9%
Power Play
51.0% (243)
49.5% (198)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (26)
33.3% (3)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lucic shoots left. Williams is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Williams shoots right. Lucic is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Williams
Lucic
Home
46.2% (327)
48.3% (317)
Away
43.3% (328)
43.5% (285)
By Period
Williams
Lucic
P1
39.9%
41.3%
P2
46.1%
47.9%
P3
49.0%
50.3%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
44.7%
Lucic
46.0%▬
45.5%
46.0%