Who wins more faceoffs, Justin Williams or Ryan O'Reilly?

Ryan O'Reilly leads the head-to-head 7-5 across 12 faceoffs.

What is Justin Williams's faceoff record against Ryan O'Reilly?

Justin Williams is 5-7 against Ryan O'Reilly in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 4-0, Defensive 1-7.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Justin Williams or Ryan O'Reilly?

Ryan O'Reilly is the predicted winner with a 57.5% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Justin Williams vs Ryan O'Reilly

Justin WilliamsR vs Ryan O'ReillyL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Williams wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Williams 45.4% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-11.3%)

H2H factor O'Reilly leads 7-5 in 12 meetings

Offensive zone Williams 83.1%

Defensive zone O'Reilly 77.8%

Neutral zone Williams 60.5%

Result Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.5%

42.5%

57.5%

Williams O'Reilly

Head-to-Head Record

5 - 7 (12 meetings)

Williams O'Reilly

Last 10: Williams 3-7 O'Reilly

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Williams

Williams O'Reilly

4 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: O'Reilly

Williams O'Reilly

8 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Williams

O'Reilly

Edge

Even Strength

41.5% (386)

56.2% (15,260)

-14.7%

Power Play

51.0% (243)

58.8% (3,445)

-7.8%

Penalty Kill

34.6% (26)

51.4% (2,811)

-16.8%

On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +16.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

O'Reilly shoots left. Williams is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (493).

Williams shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).

Home / Away

Williams

O'Reilly

Home

46.2% (327)

57.6% (10,762)

Away

43.3% (328)

54.4% (10,787)

By Period

Williams

O'Reilly

39.9%

55.6%

46.1%

57.0%

49.0%

55.1%

0.0%

62.2%

Final 5 min

46.5%

55.3%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Williams

34.0%▼

37.0%

44.7%

O'Reilly

54.0%▼

55.5%

56.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Mar 1, 2019	1	18:09	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 1, 2019	1	16:28	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Nov 6, 2018	1	07:33	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Dec 9, 2016	2	12:13	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Dec 5, 2016	3	13:37	Offensive	Justin Williams
Dec 5, 2016	1	19:07	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Dec 5, 2016	1	14:40	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Nov 25, 2016	3	10:12	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Jan 16, 2016	2	10:43	Offensive	Justin Williams
Jan 16, 2016	2	10:37	Offensive	Justin Williams
Jan 16, 2016	2	02:25	Defensive	Justin Williams
Jan 16, 2016	1	13:42	Offensive	Justin Williams

Williams's Profile | O'Reilly's Profile