Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Williams on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Williams wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Williams 41.5% vs Crosby 55.1% (-17.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Williams 57.7%
Defensive zone
Crosby 61.5%
Neutral zone
Williams 54.0%
Result
Justin Williams favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Williams
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Williams
Crosby
Last 5: Williams 2-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Williams
2
1
Williams
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Williams
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Williams
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
35.5% (155)
54.7% (1,423)
-19.2%
Power Play
41.2% (85)
62.1% (327)
-20.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
40.8% (76)
+59.2%
On penalty kill, Williams has a +59.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Williams is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Williams shoots right. Crosby is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (597).
Home / Away
Williams
Crosby
Home
39.5% (114)
56.2% (907)
Away
36.7% (128)
54.6% (919)
By Period
Williams
Crosby
P1
28.6%
55.7%
P2
35.8%
55.0%
P3
48.8%
54.9%
Final 5 min
34.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
38.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 05:12 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Justin Williams |