Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Williams wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Williams 45.4% vs Ott 55.4% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Williams 72.1%
Defensive zone
Ott 95.8%
Neutral zone
Ott 79.7%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Williams
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Williams
Ott
Last 5: Williams 3-2 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Williams
2
0
Williams
Ott
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
2
Williams
Ott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Williams
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (386)
57.2% (2,802)
-15.7%
Power Play
51.0% (243)
55.4% (567)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (26)
49.9% (853)
-15.3%
On even strength, Ott has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Williams is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Williams shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
Williams
Ott
Home
46.2% (327)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
43.3% (328)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Williams
Ott
P1
39.9%
56.7%
P2
46.1%
53.9%
P3
49.0%
55.7%
OT
0.0%
60.8%
Final 5 min
46.5%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
44.7%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Justin Williams |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 09:12 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 1 | 08:29 | Defensive | Steve Ott |