Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Parssinen 46.2% vs Sturm 56.1% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Parssinen 84.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 57.5%
Neutral zone
Parssinen 65.6%
Result
Juuso Parssinen favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Parssinen
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Parssinen
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Parssinen
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Parssinen
Sturm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
3
Parssinen
Sturm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Parssinen
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (718)
57.1% (2,719)
-11.0%
Power Play
38.9% (54)
61.3% (62)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
51.0% (498)
+49.0%
On penalty kill, Parssinen has a +49.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Parssinen is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (489).
Parssinen shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Parssinen
Sturm
Home
48.9% (395)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
42.5% (379)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Parssinen
Sturm
P1
41.7%
56.5%
P2
49.2%
54.9%
P3
45.6%
57.4%
OT
100.0%
60.6%
Final 5 min
52.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Parssinen
48.0%▲
44.5%
45.7%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%