Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (36.8% vs 37.4%). Kapanen wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — Brown shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 40.5% vs Brown 39.6% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Brown 51.8%
Defensive zone
Brown 57.0%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 50.0%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Kapanen
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
37.1% (213)
37.4% (457)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
39.4% (33)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (41)
25.0% (4)
+9.1%
On power play, Kapanen has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots left. Kapanen is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Kapanen shoots right. Brown is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Brown
Home
39.7% (116)
39.7% (239)
Away
34.5% (142)
35.3% (255)
By Period
Kapanen
Brown
P1
35.6%
39.8%
P2
34.1%
33.7%
P3
40.7%
38.9%
Final 5 min
40.0%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
46.0%▲
39.0%
36.8%
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.4%