Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kapanen wins 37.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 40.6% vs Nosek 53.9% (-17.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Kapanen
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kapanen
Nosek
Last 8: Kapanen 3-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Kapanen
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kapanen
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
3
Kapanen
Nosek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
37.3% (212)
55.0% (2,608)
-17.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
43.5% (46)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (41)
48.6% (397)
-14.5%
On even strength, Nosek has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kapanen is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Kapanen shoots right. Nosek is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,171).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Nosek
Home
39.7% (116)
52.9% (1,606)
Away
34.8% (141)
55.3% (1,445)
By Period
Kapanen
Nosek
P1
35.6%
52.5%
P2
34.1%
54.7%
P3
41.3%
54.6%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
48.0%▲
39.0%
37.0%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:05 | Neutral | Kasperi Kapanen |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2023 | OT | 04:43 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kasperi Kapanen |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Kasperi Kapanen |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |