Scouting Report
Keegan Kolesar holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. McGinn wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kolesar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McGinn 41.3% vs Kolesar 43.4% (-4.1%)
Offensive zone
Kolesar 55.4%
Defensive zone
McGinn 51.0%
Neutral zone
Kolesar 52.8%
Result
Keegan Kolesar favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
McGinn
Kolesar
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McGinn
Kolesar
Edge
Even Strength
38.4% (177)
41.9% (382)
-3.5%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
50.0% (6)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (51)
35.3% (17)
-5.9%
On power play, McGinn has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kolesar shoots right. McGinn is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (83).
McGinn shoots left. Kolesar is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
McGinn
Kolesar
Home
29.4% (119)
38.2% (191)
Away
46.1% (115)
44.9% (214)
By Period
McGinn
Kolesar
P1
43.0%
42.1%
P2
34.5%
43.2%
P3
31.9%
39.3%
Final 5 min
36.8%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McGinn
28.0%▼
36.5%
37.6%
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.7%