Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Schenn wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aucoin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.3% vs Aucoin 48.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Aucoin 57.6%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 62.2%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 53.1%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Schenn
Aucoin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Schenn
Aucoin
Last 10: Schenn 6-4 Aucoin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
0
2
Schenn
Aucoin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
1
Schenn
Aucoin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
2
Schenn
Aucoin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Aucoin
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (414)
47.8% (320)
-1.7%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
59.1% (22)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aucoin shoots left. Schenn is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Schenn shoots left. Aucoin is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Schenn
Aucoin
Home
42.3% (222)
52.6% (154)
Away
48.5% (231)
45.3% (190)
By Period
Schenn
Aucoin
P1
43.9%
42.5%
P2
48.4%
52.9%
P3
43.5%
52.1%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 05:06 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 02:37 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 17:25 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |