Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Aucoin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 47.8% vs Aucoin 48.9% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Aucoin leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 67.7%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 60.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 53.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Malkin
Aucoin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Malkin
Aucoin
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Aucoin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
1
Malkin
Aucoin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
0
4
Malkin
Aucoin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aucoin
0
1
Malkin
Aucoin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Aucoin
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (366)
47.8% (320)
-0.3%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
59.1% (22)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
50.0% (2)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aucoin shoots left. Malkin is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (265).
Malkin shoots left. Aucoin is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Malkin
Aucoin
Home
52.1% (213)
52.6% (154)
Away
42.0% (200)
45.3% (190)
By Period
Malkin
Aucoin
P1
47.2%
42.5%
P2
44.4%
52.9%
P3
50.0%
52.1%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
47.2%
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |