Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aucoin on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Vitale wins 66.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aucoin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 58.0% vs Aucoin 48.9% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Vitale leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Vitale 58.2%
Defensive zone
Vitale 70.5%
Neutral zone
Vitale 70.3%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Vitale
Aucoin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Vitale
Aucoin
Last 10: Vitale 6-4 Aucoin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
0
Vitale
Aucoin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Aucoin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aucoin
3
4
Vitale
Aucoin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Aucoin
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (251)
47.8% (320)
+12.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
59.1% (22)
+40.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
50.0% (2)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Vitale has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aucoin shoots left. Vitale is 66.2% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Vitale shoots right. Aucoin is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Vitale
Aucoin
Home
62.8% (121)
52.6% (154)
Away
59.6% (136)
45.3% (190)
By Period
Vitale
Aucoin
P1
51.8%
42.5%
P2
57.1%
52.9%
P3
73.3%
52.1%
Final 5 min
65.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
61.1%
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2013 | 2 | 03:46 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 01:44 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |