Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Aucoin wins 32.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.4% vs Bergeron 58.8% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 72.6%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 70.8%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 72.4%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Aucoin
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Aucoin
Bergeron
Last 9: Aucoin 3-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Aucoin
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Aucoin
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Aucoin
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (114)
61.6% (1,186)
-15.1%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
52.2% (201)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
54.6% (240)
+45.4%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +45.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Aucoin is 32.5% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Aucoin shoots left. Bergeron is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,127).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Bergeron
Home
52.9% (51)
61.7% (828)
Away
42.9% (70)
56.8% (813)
By Period
Aucoin
Bergeron
P1
55.6%
58.5%
P2
42.3%
61.8%
P3
46.9%
57.8%
OT
0.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
32.0%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
47.1%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 16:30 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 08:56 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |