Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Aucoin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.7% vs Elias 42.7% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 75.9%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 79.3%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 75.5%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Aucoin
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Aucoin
Elias
Last 7: Aucoin 5-2 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
2
1
Aucoin
Elias
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
1
0
Aucoin
Elias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aucoin
2
1
Aucoin
Elias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (448)
42.3% (2,591)
+5.5%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
48.4% (405)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
36.0% (367)
+39.0%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +39.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Aucoin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Aucoin shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Elias
Home
52.6% (215)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
45.1% (268)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Aucoin
Elias
P1
45.8%
41.1%
P2
49.2%
43.1%
P3
51.9%
43.0%
OT
0.0%
43.2%
Final 5 min
48.0%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 14:31 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:56 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |