Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.9% vs Elias 46.0% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 57.1%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 82.7%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 71.5%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Aucoin
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Aucoin
Elias
Last 5: Aucoin 4-1 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Aucoin
Elias
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
1
0
Aucoin
Elias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aucoin
2
0
Aucoin
Elias
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (320)
40.0% (100)
+7.8%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
53.1% (49)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
35.7% (14)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Aucoin is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Aucoin shoots left. Elias is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Elias
Home
52.6% (154)
46.2% (78)
Away
45.3% (190)
41.2% (85)
By Period
Aucoin
Elias
P1
42.5%
44.0%
P2
52.9%
50.0%
P3
52.1%
36.4%
OT
0.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.7%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.5%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 14:31 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:56 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |