Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Fedotenko on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.9% vs Fedotenko 40.9% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fedotenko 70.8%
Defensive zone
Fedotenko 71.4%
Neutral zone
Fedotenko 71.4%
Result
Ruslan Fedotenko favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Aucoin
Fedotenko
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Aucoin
Fedotenko
Last 5: Aucoin 1-4 Fedotenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fedotenko
0
1
Aucoin
Fedotenko
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fedotenko
1
3
Aucoin
Fedotenko
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Fedotenko
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (320)
36.8% (174)
+11.0%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
20.0% (5)
+39.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
28.6% (7)
+21.4%
On power play, Aucoin has a +39.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fedotenko shoots left. Aucoin is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Aucoin shoots left. Fedotenko is 38.3% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Fedotenko
Home
52.6% (154)
39.0% (82)
Away
45.3% (190)
33.7% (104)
By Period
Aucoin
Fedotenko
P1
42.5%
38.7%
P2
52.9%
38.3%
P3
52.1%
31.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
31.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.5%
Fedotenko
36.0%▼
37.5%
36.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Ruslan Fedotenko |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 19:16 | Neutral | Ruslan Fedotenko |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Ruslan Fedotenko |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Ruslan Fedotenko |