Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.9% vs Couturier 44.9% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 55.8%
Defensive zone
Couturier 77.4%
Neutral zone
Couturier 61.7%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Aucoin
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Aucoin
Couturier
Last 9: Aucoin 3-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Aucoin
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Aucoin
Couturier
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (320)
44.4% (448)
+3.4%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
57.7% (26)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
36.7% (79)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Aucoin is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Aucoin shoots left. Couturier is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Couturier
Home
52.6% (154)
42.2% (296)
Away
45.3% (190)
45.9% (257)
By Period
Aucoin
Couturier
P1
42.5%
44.0%
P2
52.9%
46.5%
P3
52.1%
41.4%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.5%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 05:01 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 12:43 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |