Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Aucoin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.9% vs Matthias 45.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 65.7%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 70.8%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 72.6%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Aucoin
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Aucoin
Matthias
Last 8: Aucoin 6-2 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Aucoin
Matthias
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
1
Aucoin
Matthias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aucoin
5
0
Aucoin
Matthias
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (320)
43.2% (310)
+4.6%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
57.1% (21)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.8% (16)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Aucoin is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Aucoin shoots left. Matthias is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Matthias
Home
52.6% (154)
40.7% (172)
Away
45.3% (190)
47.4% (175)
By Period
Aucoin
Matthias
P1
42.5%
47.4%
P2
52.9%
46.0%
P3
52.1%
39.4%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.5%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 15:58 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 01:44 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |