Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.9% vs Ott 54.8% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 66.2%
Defensive zone
Ott 52.3%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 58.8%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Aucoin
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Aucoin
Ott
Last 5: Aucoin 2-3 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Aucoin
Ott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
2
0
Aucoin
Ott
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
2
Aucoin
Ott
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (320)
54.8% (305)
-7.0%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
56.8% (95)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
57.0% (135)
-7.0%
On even strength, Ott has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Aucoin is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Aucoin shoots left. Ott is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Ott
Home
52.6% (154)
58.7% (271)
Away
45.3% (190)
52.7% (264)
By Period
Aucoin
Ott
P1
42.5%
60.4%
P2
52.9%
54.0%
P3
52.1%
52.6%
OT
0.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.5%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |