Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 52.4% vs Hayes 56.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 54.0%
Defensive zone
Sissons 61.1%
Neutral zone
Sissons 50.6%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Sissons
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Sissons
Hayes
Last 7: Sissons 2-5 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
3
Sissons
Hayes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
2
Sissons
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (829)
56.6% (724)
-2.0%
Power Play
55.6% (99)
57.0% (79)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (248)
65.7% (35)
-21.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Sissons is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Sissons shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Sissons
Hayes
Home
51.5% (575)
58.0% (405)
Away
53.6% (601)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Sissons
Hayes
P1
53.0%
54.7%
P2
52.4%
55.7%
P3
52.0%
60.2%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
52.6%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 04:09 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |