Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.9% vs Hayes 43.8% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 65.3%
Defensive zone
Beagle 95.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 80.0%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Beagle
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Beagle
Hayes
Last 5: Beagle 4-1 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (353)
42.7% (478)
+14.5%
Power Play
87.5% (16)
42.9% (98)
+44.6%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (95)
45.2% (31)
+6.4%
On power play, Beagle has a +44.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Beagle shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Beagle
Hayes
Home
62.0% (200)
43.5% (232)
Away
53.4% (264)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Beagle
Hayes
P1
55.8%
40.1%
P2
60.1%
44.8%
P3
54.5%
42.4%
OT
62.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
63.6%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 03:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |