Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Hayes 47.7% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 26-7 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Beagle 80.3%
Defensive zone
Beagle 98.9%
Neutral zone
Beagle 95.0%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 93.0%
93.0%
7.0%
Beagle
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
7
(33 meetings)
26
7
Beagle
Hayes
Last 10: Beagle 7-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
4
Beagle
Hayes
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
10
0
Beagle
Hayes
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
13
3
Beagle
Hayes
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
47.5% (6,708)
+10.0%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
51.7% (702)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
45.3% (697)
+8.9%
On even strength, Beagle has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Home / Away
Beagle
Hayes
Home
59.1% (3,228)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Beagle
Hayes
P1
57.4%
47.5%
P2
57.1%
47.6%
P3
56.2%
47.9%
OT
41.3%
54.1%
Final 5 min
56.3%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 03:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 28, 2018 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 19:18 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 19:12 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 2 | 03:17 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 1 | 19:20 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 5, 2017 | 3 | 10:30 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 5, 2017 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 5, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |