Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +19.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McClement wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 55.0% vs Hayes 38.0% (+19.2%)
H2H factor
McClement leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McClement 75.6%
Defensive zone
McClement 97.1%
Neutral zone
McClement 94.4%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 90.1%
90.1%
9.9%
McClement
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
McClement
Hayes
Last 10: McClement 9-1 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
1
McClement
Hayes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
5
0
McClement
Hayes
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
2
0
McClement
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (714)
37.1% (642)
+20.0%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
32.1% (28)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (239)
0.0% (11)
+51.0%
On penalty kill, McClement has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. McClement is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (640).
McClement shoots left. Hayes is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
McClement
Hayes
Home
55.8% (475)
36.7% (354)
Away
55.1% (515)
35.8% (327)
By Period
McClement
Hayes
P1
55.6%
33.6%
P2
57.3%
38.3%
P3
53.2%
37.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 02:47 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 08:12 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Jay McClement |