Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 50.8% vs Hayes 38.0% (+14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 70.7%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 95.4%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 93.2%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Mitchell
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Mitchell
Hayes
Last 5: Mitchell 4-1 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mitchell
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
3
0
Mitchell
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (666)
37.1% (642)
+14.1%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
32.1% (28)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (47)
0.0% (11)
+48.9%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +48.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Mitchell shoots left. Hayes is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Hayes
Home
51.7% (360)
36.7% (354)
Away
50.1% (375)
35.8% (327)
By Period
Mitchell
Hayes
P1
50.2%
33.6%
P2
49.4%
38.3%
P3
51.9%
37.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | John Mitchell |