Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodzinski 50.1% vs Hayes 56.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 54.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 87.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 80.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Brodzinski
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Brodzinski
Hayes
Last 5: Brodzinski 4-1 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brodzinski
2
0
Brodzinski
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brodzinski
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodzinski
1
0
Brodzinski
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodzinski
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (293)
56.6% (724)
-7.8%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
57.0% (79)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
65.7% (35)
+34.3%
On penalty kill, Brodzinski has a +34.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Brodzinski is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Brodzinski shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Brodzinski
Hayes
Home
54.2% (144)
58.0% (405)
Away
46.9% (179)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Brodzinski
Hayes
P1
49.5%
54.7%
P2
45.5%
55.7%
P3
55.8%
60.2%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodzinski
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Jonny Brodzinski |