Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Rooney 46.4% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 79.6%
Defensive zone
Rooney 50.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 57.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Hayes
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
10
(28 meetings)
18
10
Hayes
Rooney
Last 10: Hayes 7-3 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
12
2
Hayes
Rooney
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
3
Hayes
Rooney
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Hayes
Rooney
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
46.7% (2,042)
+0.8%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
41.7% (48)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
43.4% (267)
+1.9%
On power play, Hayes has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Rooney is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,570).
Home / Away
Hayes
Rooney
Home
48.1% (3,982)
47.4% (1,227)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
44.9% (1,130)
By Period
Hayes
Rooney
P1
47.5%
48.1%
P2
47.6%
47.1%
P3
47.9%
43.6%
OT
54.1%
12.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 14:48 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:08 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 14:07 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 08:37 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 01:43 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |