Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayes wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.2% vs Rooney 47.7% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 83.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 57.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 58.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Hayes
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Hayes
Rooney
Last 7: Hayes 6-1 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
0
Hayes
Rooney
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
0
1
Hayes
Rooney
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Rooney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (672)
47.8% (324)
+3.5%
Power Play
50.0% (78)
28.6% (7)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (76)
43.9% (41)
-3.1%
On power play, Hayes has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Hayes is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Hayes shoots left. Rooney is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Hayes
Rooney
Home
52.0% (404)
45.5% (198)
Away
48.6% (422)
48.9% (174)
By Period
Hayes
Rooney
P1
50.7%
52.8%
P2
50.2%
43.4%
P3
49.8%
44.8%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.2%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |