Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Granlund 41.4% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 70.5%
Defensive zone
Granlund 78.5%
Neutral zone
Granlund 76.1%
Result
Markus Granlund favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Hayes
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Hayes
Granlund
Last 10: Hayes 3-7 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
4
Hayes
Granlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
3
Hayes
Granlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Hayes
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
41.3% (1,525)
+6.2%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
45.1% (91)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
32.8% (119)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Granlund is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,096).
Home / Away
Hayes
Granlund
Home
48.1% (3,982)
43.1% (886)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
38.6% (849)
By Period
Hayes
Granlund
P1
47.5%
42.9%
P2
47.6%
39.1%
P3
47.9%
41.1%
OT
54.1%
26.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2018 | 2 | 19:40 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2018 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 26, 2017 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |