Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 46.1% vs Granlund 44.8% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 72.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 72.7%
Neutral zone
Granlund 52.3%
Result
Markus Granlund favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Hayes
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayes
Granlund
Last 5: Hayes 1-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
3
Hayes
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (788)
42.7% (82)
+2.7%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (124)
27.8% (18)
+17.4%
On power play, Hayes has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Hayes is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Hayes shoots left. Granlund is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Hayes
Granlund
Home
46.6% (459)
46.3% (54)
Away
44.8% (509)
31.9% (47)
By Period
Hayes
Granlund
P1
43.0%
39.4%
P2
49.5%
44.4%
P3
44.7%
33.3%
OT
28.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
45.7%
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |