Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Hayes wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 38.9% vs Cullen 55.2% (-19.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 96.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 74.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 86.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Hayes
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Hayes
Cullen
Last 7: Hayes 0-7 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
6
Hayes
Cullen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
1
Hayes
Cullen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (362)
59.1% (783)
-23.7%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
60.7% (28)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
43.8% (233)
-43.8%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Hayes is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (245).
Hayes shoots left. Cullen is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Home / Away
Hayes
Cullen
Home
36.8% (212)
59.0% (481)
Away
34.9% (169)
52.9% (563)
By Period
Hayes
Cullen
P1
40.3%
55.7%
P2
31.1%
53.1%
P3
34.2%
58.0%
OT
100.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
29.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.0%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2016 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 27, 2016 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 27, 2016 | 1 | 16:09 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 27, 2016 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 27, 2016 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 10, 2016 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 10, 2016 | 1 | 05:22 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |