Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Hendricks 53.3% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 50.3%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 81.1%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 70.9%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Hayes
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hayes
Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Hendricks
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
0
1
Hayes
Hendricks
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
55.0% (1,616)
-7.5%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
52.6% (38)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
48.4% (446)
-3.1%
On even strength, Hendricks has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Hendricks is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,233).
Home / Away
Hayes
Hendricks
Home
48.1% (3,982)
52.6% (1,023)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
54.3% (1,080)
By Period
Hayes
Hendricks
P1
47.5%
53.2%
P2
47.6%
53.3%
P3
47.9%
53.6%
OT
54.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 16:57 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |