Kevin Hayes vs Mikhail Grigorenko
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Grigorenko on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.8% vs Grigorenko 46.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grigorenko 50.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 52.7%
Neutral zone
Grigorenko 50.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Hayes
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Hayes
Grigorenko
Last 9: Hayes 4-5 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Grigorenko
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
3
Hayes
Grigorenko
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Grigorenko
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (6,698)
45.3% (1,033)
+2.3%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
56.0% (50)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (696)
58.5% (65)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Grigorenko has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Hayes is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,126).
Hayes shoots left. Grigorenko is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Hayes
Grigorenko
Home
48.1% (3,982)
51.1% (567)
Away
47.4% (4,114)
42.0% (581)
By Period
Hayes
Grigorenko
P1
47.5%
43.8%
P2
47.7%
47.1%
P3
47.9%
48.7%
OT
54.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2015 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 01:23 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |