Kevin Hayes vs Mikhail Grigorenko
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikhail Grigorenko holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Grigorenko shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 38.9% vs Grigorenko 44.8% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 72.7%
Defensive zone
Grigorenko 59.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Hayes
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hayes
Grigorenko
Last 5: Hayes 2-3 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Grigorenko
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
2
Hayes
Grigorenko
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Grigorenko
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (362)
43.4% (311)
-8.0%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
50.0% (8)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
40.0% (30)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, Grigorenko has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Hayes is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (245).
Hayes shoots left. Grigorenko is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Hayes
Grigorenko
Home
36.8% (212)
44.8% (172)
Away
34.9% (169)
41.8% (177)
By Period
Hayes
Grigorenko
P1
40.3%
36.6%
P2
31.1%
51.8%
P3
34.2%
42.6%
Final 5 min
29.6%
35.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.0%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2015 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |