Scouting Report
Mikhail Maltsev holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Maltsev on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Maltsev 50.1% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 50.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 56.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Hayes
Maltsev
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hayes
Maltsev
Last 7: Hayes 3-4 Maltsev
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Maltsev
3
4
Hayes
Maltsev
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Maltsev
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
50.6% (259)
-3.1%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
33.3% (3)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
0.0% (1)
+45.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +45.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Maltsev shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Maltsev is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Hayes
Maltsev
Home
48.1% (3,982)
48.9% (141)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
51.6% (122)
By Period
Hayes
Maltsev
P1
47.5%
46.7%
P2
47.6%
55.7%
P3
47.9%
48.2%
Final 5 min
49.3%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Maltsev
48.0%▼
53.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Mikhail Maltsev |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Mikhail Maltsev |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 02:33 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Mikhail Maltsev |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Mikhail Maltsev |