Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.8% vs Koivu 54.0% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 86.7%
Defensive zone
Hayes 78.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 85.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Hayes
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
18
(27 meetings)
9
18
Hayes
Koivu
Last 10: Hayes 3-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
5
Hayes
Koivu
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
5
Hayes
Koivu
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
8
Hayes
Koivu
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (6,698)
54.0% (9,465)
-6.4%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
58.6% (2,100)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (696)
48.9% (1,688)
-3.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Hayes is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,126).
Hayes shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Hayes
Koivu
Home
48.1% (3,982)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
47.4% (4,114)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Hayes
Koivu
P1
47.5%
53.5%
P2
47.7%
54.6%
P3
47.9%
54.0%
OT
54.1%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2018 | 3 | 09:22 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 1 | 11:10 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 10:52 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 16:57 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 09:53 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |