Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.6%). Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.8% vs Lindholm 48.8% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 69.1%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 70.2%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 56.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Hayes
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hayes
Lindholm
Last 5: Hayes 3-2 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Lindholm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Lindholm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Hayes
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (6,698)
49.6% (510)
-2.0%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
50.0% (12)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (696)
45.5% (178)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots left. Hayes is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,126).
Hayes shoots left. Lindholm is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Hayes
Lindholm
Home
48.1% (3,982)
49.4% (346)
Away
47.4% (4,114)
47.7% (354)
By Period
Hayes
Lindholm
P1
47.5%
42.2%
P2
47.7%
51.0%
P3
47.9%
51.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Lindholm
42.0%▼
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:50 | Neutral | Par Lindholm |