Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.2% vs Lindholm 46.9% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 70.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 52.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Hayes
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hayes
Lindholm
Last 5: Hayes 3-2 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Lindholm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Lindholm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Hayes
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (672)
47.2% (231)
+4.1%
Power Play
50.0% (78)
66.7% (6)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (76)
37.3% (51)
+3.5%
On power play, Lindholm has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots left. Hayes is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Hayes shoots left. Lindholm is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Hayes
Lindholm
Home
52.0% (404)
40.5% (158)
Away
48.6% (422)
52.3% (130)
By Period
Hayes
Lindholm
P1
50.7%
34.1%
P2
50.2%
51.0%
P3
49.8%
51.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.2%
Lindholm
42.0%▼
45.5%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:50 | Neutral | Par Lindholm |