Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +23.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Hayes wins 33.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 38.0% vs Bergeron 59.7% (-23.9%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 88.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 83.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 89.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Hayes
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
10
(11 meetings)
1
10
Hayes
Bergeron
Last 10: Hayes 1-9 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Hayes
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
7
Hayes
Bergeron
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Hayes
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
37.1% (642)
60.5% (1,394)
-23.4%
Power Play
32.1% (28)
64.0% (300)
-31.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (11)
53.7% (255)
-53.7%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +53.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Hayes is 33.2% vs right-shot opponents (262).
Hayes shoots left. Bergeron is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,235).
Home / Away
Hayes
Bergeron
Home
36.7% (354)
62.0% (949)
Away
35.8% (327)
58.6% (1,002)
By Period
Hayes
Bergeron
P1
33.6%
59.2%
P2
38.3%
63.9%
P3
37.0%
57.0%
Final 5 min
39.0%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.3%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 4, 2015 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |