Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayes wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.2% vs Bergeron 57.3% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 83.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 85.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 83.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Hayes
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Hayes
Bergeron
Last 9: Hayes 2-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
5
Hayes
Bergeron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (672)
59.9% (870)
-8.6%
Power Play
50.0% (78)
54.4% (272)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (76)
53.3% (169)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Hayes is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Bergeron is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Home / Away
Hayes
Bergeron
Home
52.0% (404)
57.8% (611)
Away
48.6% (422)
58.0% (700)
By Period
Hayes
Bergeron
P1
50.7%
57.7%
P2
50.2%
57.6%
P3
49.8%
58.7%
OT
50.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
52.9%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |