Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.1% vs Bergeron 61.3% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 21-17 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 70.7%
Defensive zone
Hayes 72.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 69.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Hayes
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
21
(38 meetings)
17
21
Hayes
Bergeron
Last 10: Hayes 2-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
8
14
Hayes
Bergeron
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
5
4
Hayes
Bergeron
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
3
Hayes
Bergeron
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (394)
60.7% (760)
-12.0%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
70.9% (230)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
57.3% (157)
-23.0%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Hayes is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Hayes shoots left. Bergeron is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Hayes
Bergeron
Home
50.6% (237)
64.4% (567)
Away
47.3% (241)
60.2% (580)
By Period
Hayes
Bergeron
P1
43.9%
63.8%
P2
47.3%
58.6%
P3
55.9%
63.9%
OT
75.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
63.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.0%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 01:48 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 15:20 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 03:39 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 3, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 3, 2021 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 3, 2021 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |