Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 46.8%). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dupuis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Dupuis 47.4% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 55.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 51.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Hayes
Dupuis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Dupuis
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
48.1% (310)
-0.6%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
58.3% (12)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
38.5% (65)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dupuis shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Hayes shoots left. Dupuis is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Hayes
Dupuis
Home
48.1% (3,982)
45.0% (209)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
48.9% (180)
By Period
Hayes
Dupuis
P1
47.5%
48.8%
P2
47.6%
46.2%
P3
47.9%
45.0%
OT
54.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Dupuis
50.0%▲
44.5%
46.8%