Scouting Report
Riley Sheahan holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.8% vs Sheahan 50.1% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Sheahan 55.2%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 75.1%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 70.4%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Hayes
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
13
(31 meetings)
18
13
Hayes
Sheahan
Last 10: Hayes 6-4 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
9
6
Hayes
Sheahan
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
2
4
Hayes
Sheahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
7
3
Hayes
Sheahan
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (6,698)
51.0% (4,968)
-3.4%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
55.6% (322)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (696)
44.3% (1,068)
+1.1%
On power play, Sheahan has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Hayes is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,126).
Hayes shoots left. Sheahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,993).
Home / Away
Hayes
Sheahan
Home
48.1% (3,982)
51.1% (3,247)
Away
47.4% (4,114)
49.0% (3,111)
By Period
Hayes
Sheahan
P1
47.5%
51.3%
P2
47.7%
51.2%
P3
47.9%
48.1%
OT
54.1%
35.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 02:55 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 17:24 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |