Scouting Report
Riley Sheahan holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.1% vs Sheahan 50.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 56.3%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 83.9%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 58.0%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Hayes
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Hayes
Sheahan
Last 10: Hayes 6-4 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
5
2
Hayes
Sheahan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
1
2
Hayes
Sheahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (394)
52.8% (381)
-4.1%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
100.0% (7)
-38.8%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
41.7% (115)
-7.4%
On power play, Sheahan has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Hayes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Hayes shoots left. Sheahan is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Hayes
Sheahan
Home
50.6% (237)
51.7% (300)
Away
47.3% (241)
49.8% (203)
By Period
Hayes
Sheahan
P1
43.9%
56.7%
P2
47.3%
52.3%
P3
55.9%
45.7%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.0%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |