Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.2% vs Getzlaf 51.1% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 67.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 53.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 62.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Hayes
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Hayes
Getzlaf
Last 7: Hayes 2-5 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Getzlaf
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
2
Hayes
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Hayes
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (672)
51.6% (812)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (78)
55.3% (94)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (76)
45.2% (126)
-4.4%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Hayes is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Hayes
Getzlaf
Home
52.0% (404)
52.5% (531)
Away
48.6% (422)
49.9% (503)
By Period
Hayes
Getzlaf
P1
50.7%
47.8%
P2
50.2%
54.6%
P3
49.8%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
52.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.2%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | OT | 03:04 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 18:48 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |