Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.1% vs Zajac 51.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 50.5%
Defensive zone
Zajac 68.0%
Neutral zone
Zajac 59.3%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Hayes
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Hayes
Zajac
Last 9: Hayes 5-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
3
4
Hayes
Zajac
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (394)
53.5% (480)
-4.8%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
48.4% (62)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
37.7% (61)
-3.4%
On power play, Hayes has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Hayes is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Hayes shoots left. Zajac is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Hayes
Zajac
Home
50.6% (237)
51.7% (352)
Away
47.3% (241)
51.0% (251)
By Period
Hayes
Zajac
P1
43.9%
45.0%
P2
47.3%
61.5%
P3
55.9%
46.0%
OT
75.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.0%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |